Ayr Western meeting

AYR TRENDS RATINGS

Ayr Silver Cup (page 203 of the book)

Points are awarded to each horse that fit the following trends (the official rating clue won’t apply this year in a quality renewal, so I’ve replaced it with a *top 10 placing last time and *draw clues from the chart):

Won over 6f -7f = 2pts
Ridden prominently or held up = 1pt
Won a handicap = 1pt
Won a race with 13 runners or more = 1pt
British or Irish-bred = 1pt
*Made the top 10 last time = 1pt
*Drawn 1-7 or 22-27 = ½pt
Raced at Ayr previously = ½pt
Trained by D Nicholls = ½pt

(Maximum score 8½)

Skhilling Spirit = 7½
Johannes = 6½
Pusey Street Lady = 7
Quest For Success = 7½
Fullandby = 7½
Roker Park = 7
Mister Hardy = 8
Invincible Force = 6
River Falcon = 7
Prescription = 6
Master Of Disguise = 4
Six Of Hearts = 7
Joseph Henry = 7½
Tajneed = 8
Aye Aye Digby = 7
Lowther = 6½
My Gacho = 6½
Horatio Carter = 7½
Thebes = 6½
Sea Of Loves = 2½
Protector = 5½
Sudden Impact = 7
Mastership = 7½
Cape Vale = 6½
Red Cape = 6½
Kaldoun Kingdom = 8
Green Manalishi = 7

TRENDS TOP THREE
Mister Hardy - Kaldoun Kingdom – Tajneed


Ayr Gold Cup (page 208 of the book)
Points are awarded to each horse that fits the following trends:

Ran during the last two months = 2pts
Ran at Doncaster, Goodwood or Haydock last time = 1pt
Four to six-year-old = 1pt
Won over 6f = 1pt
9st 3lb or lighter = 1pt
Won a maximum of three handicaps = 1pt
Colt or gelding = 1pt
Trained by D Nicholls = ½pt

(maximum of 8½pts)

Knot In Wood = 5
Garnica = 5½
Abbondanza = 5
Genki = 6
Barney McGrew = 5
Tombi = 7
Evens And Odds = 7½
Intrepid Jack = 6
Redford = 5
Zidane = 4
Brave Prospector = 8
Valery Borzov = 6½
Wi Dud = 6
Jimmy Styles = 8
Hogmaneigh = 4
Signor Peltro = 7
Madame Trop Vite = 2
Sonny Red = 7½
Arganil = 7
Blue Jack = 6
Advanced = 7
Striking Spirit = 8½
Magic Cat = 4
Hitchens = 7
Fol Hollow = 6
Everymanforhimself = 7
Mac Gille Eoin = 7

TRENDS TOP THREE:
Striking Spirit – Brave Prospector – Jimmy Styles


Top of the Form

Here are the Top 20 qualifiers for Tuesday 22 September:

3.40 Stratford, Olympian Boy
4.20 Folkestone, Tafaool
5.00 Beverley, Efidium

Here are numbers 11 to 20 from the chart which were missing from the RFO this week - they might look a bit strange as they are obviously in a different format but should make sense:

August 6 Bath 1m3f Handicap 1.Point Of Light 2.Blue Nymph 3.Sounds Of Jupiter 6 ran
Record of first three home: 4 wins from 4 runs – Point Of Light (2 wins), Sounds Of Jupiter (2 wins) = +7
Record of last three home: 0 win from 2 runs = -2
Total record: 4 wins from 6 runs (67%) for a profit of +£6 to £1 levels.
+5

August 7 Worcester 3m Handicap Hurdle 1.Chinara 2.Olmeto Collonges 3.Mith Hill 8 ran
Record of first four home: 1 win from 1 run – Little Shilling = +2
Record of last four home: 1 win from 2 runs – Raslan = +2
Total record: 2 wins from 3 runs (67%) for a profit of +£15 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +4

August 28 Newmarket 7f Maiden Stakes 1.Pollentaor 2.Boogie Diva 3.Qaraaba 12 ran
Record of first six home: 2 wins from 2 runs – Pollenator, Chain Of Office = +5
Record of last six home: 0 win from 1 run = -1
Total record: 2 wins from 3 runs (67%) for a profit of +£15 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +4

August 18 Brighton 7f Handicap 1.Cavendish Road 2.Fire King 3.Orangeleg 10 ran
Record of first five home: 3 wins from 6 runs – Valid Point (2 wins), Spring Secret = +6
Record of last five home: 0 win from 4 runs = -2
Total record: 3 wins from 10 runs (30%) for a profit of +£6 to £1 levels.
+4

August 26 Catterick 5f Handicap 1.Bonnie Prince Blue 2.Mr Wolf 3.Timber Treasure 9 ran
Record of first four home: 0 win from 4 runs = 0
Record of last five home: 2 wins from 5 runs – Hotham, Sea Salt = +4
Total record: 2 wins from 9 runs (22%) for a profit of +£9 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +4

August 22 Ripon 6f Yearling Stakes 1.Hold Your Colour 2.Exceedingly Bold 3.Sovereign Secure 12 ran
Record of first six home: 2 wins from 3 runs – Hold Your Colour, Ruthie Babe = +2
Record of last six home: 1 win from 1 run – Stef And Stelio = +1
Total record: 3 wins from 4 runs (75%) for a profit of +£15 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +3

August 20 Lingfield 1m2f Handicap 1.Some Sunny Day 2.Lunar River 3.Yvonne Evelyn 13 ran
Record of first six home: 2 wins from 6 runs – Some Sunny Day, Ebony Eyes = +1
Record of last seven home: 1 win from 3 runs – Chadwell Spring = +2
Total record: 3 wins from 9 runs (33%) for a profit of +£40 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +3

August 20 Epsom 1m4f Ladies’ Handicap 1.Epsom Salts 2.Lord Theo 3.Dramatic Solo 8 ran
Record of first four home: 2 wins from 5 runs – Epsom Salts, Lord Theo = +4
Record of last four home: 1 win from 4 runs – Sky Quest = -1
Total record: 3 wins from 9 runs (33%) for a profit of +£6 to £1 levels.
(NEW) +3

August 2 Newbury 6f Maiden Stakes 1.Quadrille 2.Chips O’toole 3.Mr Corby 8 ran
Record of first four home: 1 win from 5 runs – Quadrille = +2
Record of last four home: 1 win from 5 runs – Queen’s Grace = +1
Total record: 2 wins from 10 runs (20%) for a profit of +£43 to £1 levels.
+3

July 27 Yarmouth 2m Handicap 1.Baan 2.No Rules 3.Rose Bien 13 ran
Record of first six home: 3 wins from 8 runs – Baan, Rose Bien, Leyte Gulf = +4
Record of last seven home: 0 win from 7 runs = -1
Total record: 3 wins from 15 runs (20%) for a profit of +£14 to £1 levels.
+3

Finally, here are three form races currently outside the Top 20:

13 August Salisbury 1m6f handicap won by Saborido –
4 wins from 11 runs

14 August Newbury 7f maiden won by Pounced –
3 wins from 10 runs

20 August York St Leger Yearlig Stakes won by Midnight Martini –
3 wins from 11 runs

Performance ratings

May Hill Stakes – Pollenator 65
Park Hill Stakes – The Miniver Rose 65
Doncaster Cup – Askar Tau 75
Flying Childers Stakes – Sand Vixen 67
Champagne Stakes – Poet’s Voice 73
Park Stakes – Duff 74
Portland Handicap – Santo Padre 67
St Leger – Mastery 78
Irish St Leger – Alandi 79
Select Stakes – Mac Love 68
National Stakes – Kingsfort 76
Blandford Stakes – Chinese White 73

The quest to find a car is finally over as I left Tuesday’s auction with a 2006 Ford Focus, which should help me do battle with the winter weather on my journey to work.

There’s a strong chance of me producing trends ratings on here for both the Ayr Silver and Gold Cups on Friday as I’m not at the Guardian - some of you may remember the ratings found last year’s Silver winner, Against The Grain, at 20-1